Dutch book

Dutch book rationality conditions for conditional preferences under ambiguity

We study preference relations on conditional gambles of a decision maker acting under ambiguity. Dutch book rationality conditions are provided under a linear utility scale, encoding either an optimistic or a pessimistic attitude towards uncertainty. These conditions characterize possibly incomplete preferences representable by totally alternating or monotone conditional functionals. In general, the uniqueness of the representation is not guaranteed, but it can be obtained by adding the hypothesis of existence of a conditional fair price for every conditional gamble.

A Dutch book coherence condition for conditional completely alternating Choquet expectations

Stemming from de Finetti’s coherence for finitely additive (conditional) probabilities, the paradigm of coherence has been extended to other uncertainty calculi. We study the notion of coherence for conditional completely alternating Choquet expectations, providing an avoiding Dutch book like condition.

© Università degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza" - Piazzale Aldo Moro 5, 00185 Roma