An event synchronization method to link heavy rainfall events and large-scale atmospheric circulation features
Heavy rainfall, floods and other hydroclimatic extremes may be related to specific states of organization of the atmospheric circulation. The identification of these states and their linkage to local extremes could facilitate a physically meaningful quantification of local extremes in future climates and could allow forecasting extremes conditioned on the large-scale atmospheric state. A novel methodology is presented that combines non-linear, non-parametric methods to link heavy precipitation events (HPEs) to atmospheric circulation states.