Hidden Markov Models

Hidden Markov models predict the future choice better than a PSTH-based method

Beyond average firing rate, other measurable signals of neuronal activity are fundamental to an understanding of behavior. Recently, hidden Markov models (HMMs) have been applied to neural recordings and have described how neuronal ensembles process information by going through sequences of different states. Such collective dynamics are impossible to capture by just looking at the average firing rate. To estimate how well HMMs can decode information contained in single trials, we compared HMMs with a recently developed classification method based on the peristimulus time histogram (PSTH).

Use of hidden Markov capture-recapture models to estimate abundance in the presence of uncertainty: Application to the estimation of prevalence of hybrids in animal populations

Estimating the relative abundance (prevalence) of different population segments is a key step in addressing fundamental research questions in ecology, evolution, and conservation. The raw percentage of individuals in the sample (naive prevalence) is generally used for this purpose, but it is likely to be subject to two main sources of bias. First, the detectability of individuals is ignored; second, classification errors may occur due to some inherent limits of the diagnostic methods.

ESTIMATING PREVALENCE OF HYBRIDS IN FREE-RANGING ADMIXED POPULATIONS: A CAPTURE-RECAPTURE MULTIEVENT MODELLING APPROACH

Anthropogenic hybridization is recognized as a major and increasing threat to biodiversity. The estimation of prevalence of hybrids (proportion of hybrids in the total population) is of paramount importance to understand the extent of the phenomenon and consequently inform appropriate management policies.

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