prediction

Prediction of photovoltaic time series by recurrent neural networks and genetic embedding

The need of reliable prediction algorithms of energy production is increasing due to the spread of smart solution for grid, plant and resource management. Recurrent neural networks are a viable solution for prediction but their performance is somewhat insufficient when the time series is generated by an underlying process that behaves in a complex manner. In this paper, a new combination of echo state network and genetic algorithms is employed in order to improve the prediction accuracy of photovoltaic time series.

The cerebellar predictions for social interactions. Theory of mind abilities in patients with degenerative cerebellar atrophy

Recent studies have focused on the role of the cerebellum in the social domain, including in Theory of Mind (ToM). ToM, or the "mentalizing" process, is the ability to attribute mental states, such as emotion, intentions and beliefs, to others to explain and predict their behavior. It is a fundamental aspect of social cognition and crucial for social interactions, together with more automatic mechanisms, such as emotion contagion. Social cognition requires complex interactions between limbic, associative areas and subcortical structures, including the cerebellum.

Consensus paper. Cerebellum and emotion

Over the past three decades insight into the role of the cerebellum in emotional processing has substantially increased. Methodological refinements in cerebellar lesion studies and major technological advancements in the field of neurosicence have led to exponential growth of knowledge on the topic. It is timely to review the available data and to critically evaluate the current status of the role of the cerebellum in emotion and related domains.

Management of paediatric ulcerative colitis, part 2: Acute severe colitis - An evidence-based consensus guideline from the european Crohn's and colitis organization and the european society of paediatric gastroenterology, hepatology and nutrition

Background and aim: Acute severe colitis (ASC) is one of the few emergencies in pediatric gastroenterology. Tight monitoring and timely medical and surgical interventions may improve outcomes and minimize morbidity and mortality. We aimed to standardize daily treatment of ASC in children through detailed recommendations and practice points which are based on a systematic review of the literature and consensus of experts.

Considering patient clinical history impacts performance of machine learning models in predicting course of multiple sclerosis

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) progresses at an unpredictable rate, but predictions on the disease course in each patient would be extremely useful to tailor therapy to the individual needs. We explore different machine learning (ML) approaches to predict whether a patient will shift from the initial Relapsing-Remitting (RR) to the Secondary Progressive (SP) form of the disease, using only “real world” data available in clinical routine. The clinical records of 1624 outpatients (207 in the SP phase) attending the MS service of Sant'Andrea hospital, Rome, Italy, were used.

Coding of self and other's future choices in dorsal premotor cortex during social interaction

Representing others’ intentions is central to primate social life. We explored the role of dorsal premotor cortex (PMd) in discriminating between self and others’ behavior while two male rhesus monkeys performed a non-match-to-goal task in a monkey-human paradigm. During each trial, two of four potential targets were randomly presented on the right and left parts of a screen, and the monkey or the human was required to choose the one that did not match the previously chosen target. Each agent had to monitor the other's action in order to select the correct target in that agent's own turn.

Chemometrics in analytical chemistry—part II: modeling, validation, and applications

The contribution of chemometrics to important stages throughout the entire analytical process such as experimental design, sampling, and explorative data analysis, including data pretreatment and fusion, was described in the first part of the tutorial “Chemometrics in analytical chemistry.” This is the second part of a tutorial article on chemometrics which is devoted to the supervised modeling of multivariate chemical data, i.e., to the building of calibration and discrimination models, their quantitative validation, and their successful applications in different scientific fields.

Data-driven detrending of nonstationary fractal time series with echo state networks

In this paper, we propose a novel data-driven approach for removing trends (detrending) from nonstationary, fractal and multifractal time series. We consider real-valued time series relative to measurements of an underlying dynamical system that evolves through time. We assume that such a dynamical process is predictable to a certain degree by means of a class of recurrent networks called Echo State Network (ESN), which are capable to model a generic dynamical process.

How geodesy can contribute to the understanding and prediction of earthquakes

Earthquakes cannot be predicted with precision, but algorithms exist for intermediate-term middle-range prediction of main shocks above a pre-assigned threshold, based on seismicity patterns. Few years ago, a first attempt was made in the framework of project SISMA, funded by Italian Space Agency, to jointly use seismological tools, like CN algorithm and scenario earthquakes, and geodetic methods and techniques, like GPS and SAR monitoring, to effectively constrain priority areas where to concentrate prevention and seismic risk mitigation.

© Università degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza" - Piazzale Aldo Moro 5, 00185 Roma