DEVELOPMENT OF A NOMOGRAM TO PREDICT ACHIEVEMENT OF TRIFECTA OUTCOMES IN PATIENTS RECEVING ROBOT-ASSISTED RADICAL CYSTECTOMY WITH INTRACORPOREAL ORTHOTOPIC NEOBLADDER

04 Pubblicazione in atti di convegno
Anceschi U, Benecchi L, De Nunzio C, Lombardo R, Brassetti A, Tuderti G, Ferriero M, Guaglianone S, Flammia Rs, Mastroianni R, Gallucci M, Simone G
ISSN: 0022-5347

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE:
Robot-assisted radical cystectomy (RARC) with orthotopic neobladder (ON) is associated with heterogeneous surgical, functional and oncological outcomes. We propose a combination of three standardized and reproducible postoperative criteria (Trifecta) to optimize outcomes reporting after RARC with ON and we developed a nomogram to predict probability of achieving trifecta.

METHODS:
We defined the "trifecta" as the combination of daily urinary continence, no reoperations (meaning neither post-operative complications Clavien-Dindo ≥ 3 nor other surgical interventions related to RARC/ON, after discharge) and recurrence-free status, all assessed at one year. A total of 137 consecutive patients who underwent RARC with intracorporeal ON for bladder cancer were used to generate a nomogram predicting probability of achieving trifecta outcomes. The discrimination accuracy was measured by concordance index (CI). Calibration plot was generated with 200 bootstrap resampling. A decision curve analysis was performed to assess the net benefit of the model.

RESULTS:
Overall, 137 patients were included in the analysis (Table 1). The trifecta was achieved by 72 (53%) patients. On multivariable logistic regression analysis, age, ASA score, body mass index and neoadjuvant chemotherapy were significant predictors of trifecta achievement. The developed nomogram had a 0.71 CI (Figure 1A) and was well calibrated (Figure 1B); on decision curve analysis, the net benefit of using the model was evident for probabilities ranging between 25% and 70% (Figure 1C). The small sample size and the lack of external validation are the main limitations of this study.

CONCLUSIONS:
This newly defined trifecta is the first standardized and reproducible system specifically designed to provide a comprehensive summary of global results after RARC-iN. The developed nomogram is an easy clinical tool to predict probability of trifecta achievement at 12-mo follow-up evaluation.

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