New issues in systemic risk management

Anno
2019
Proponente Susanna Levantesi - Professore Associato
Sottosettore ERC del proponente del progetto
SH1_4
Componenti gruppo di ricerca
Componente Categoria
Massimo Franchi Componenti strutturati del gruppo di ricerca / Structured participants in the research project
Rita Laura D'Ecclesia Componenti strutturati del gruppo di ricerca / Structured participants in the research project
Giulia Rotundo Componenti strutturati del gruppo di ricerca / Structured participants in the research project
Stefano Fachin Componenti strutturati del gruppo di ricerca / Structured participants in the research project
Kevyn Stefanelli Dottorando/Assegnista/Specializzando componente non strutturato del gruppo di ricerca / PhD/Assegnista/Specializzando member non structured of the research group
Bernardo Maggi Componenti strutturati del gruppo di ricerca / Structured participants in the research project
Paolo Giulio Franciosa Componenti strutturati del gruppo di ricerca / Structured participants in the research project
Francesco Battaglia Componenti strutturati del gruppo di ricerca / Structured participants in the research project
Componente Qualifica Struttura Categoria
Elisa Fusco Funzionario Statistico SOSE, Ufficio Studi Altro personale aggregato Sapienza o esterni, titolari di borse di studio di ricerca / Other aggregate personnel Sapienza or other institution, holders of research scholarships
Francesca Di Iorio Professore Associato Università di Napoli Federico II Altro personale aggregato Sapienza o esterni, titolari di borse di studio di ricerca / Other aggregate personnel Sapienza or other institution, holders of research scholarships
Paolo Paruolo Coordinator of the Competence Centre on Microeconomic Evaluation Joint Research Centre of the European Commission Altro personale aggregato Sapienza o esterni, titolari di borse di studio di ricerca / Other aggregate personnel Sapienza or other institution, holders of research scholarships
Abstract

In the last two years the European economy grew at a remarkable pace, sustained by a synchronized global expansion, low financing costs, improving private balance sheets and labour market conditions. In this context the role played by financial institutions and banking sector on one side and the demographic changing pattern on the other represent a crucial element to estimate future rate of growth of the European Economy and in particular of Italy. The research project aims at dealing with the issues of systemic risk connected with these two topics. In fact, both of them represent the major source of uncertainty for the entire community when facing the issues of Non Performing Exposures (Public and private institutions are involved) or the changing mortality pattern which impact the welfare cost.
Non Performing Exposure (NPE) of financial institutions have reached dimensions which were simply unthinkable before the 2009 financial crisis. The complex nature of the NPE components needs a specific approach for the restructuring process. The industrialisation of the NPE management, i.e. recovery process, bad loans disposals, securitization, has to be set in order to guarantee stability of the financial sector and the availability of financial resources which foster investments and economic growth.
The worldwide progressive increase in life expectancy causes a change in the structure of older population and represents a serious challenge for the sustainability of pension and healthcare systems. On a methodological level, we need to reconsider the problem of estimating and forecasting the risk of mortality (i.e. mortality rates). We aim to explore the potential of fully general factor models using empirical structures and functional data analysis.

ERC
SH1_4, SH1_6
Keywords:
ANALISI FATTORIALE, ANALISI DELLE SERIE TEMPORALI, OTTIMIZZAZIONE, OTTIMIZZAZIONE STOCASTICA

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