climate change

Projecting impacts of global climate and land-use scenarios on plant biodiversity using compositional-turnover modelling

Nations have committed to ambitious conservation targets in response to accelerating rates of global biodiversity loss. Anticipating future impacts is essential to inform policy decisions for achieving these targets, but predictions need to be of sufficiently high spatial resolution to forecast the local effects of global change. As part of the intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services, we present a fine-resolution assessment of trends in the persistence of global plant biodiversity.

Predator and parasitoid insects along elevational gradients. Role of temperature and habitat diversity

Elevational gradients are characterized by strong abiotic variation within small geographical distances and provide a powerful tool to evaluate community response to variation in climatic and other environmental factors. We explored how temperature and habitat diversity shape the diversity of holometabolous predator and parasitoid insects along temperate elevational gradients in the European Alps. We surveyed insect communities along 12 elevational transects that were selected to separate effects of temperature from those of habitat diversity.

Geography of current and future global mammal extinction risk

Identifying which species are at greatest risk, what makes them vulnerable, and where they are distributed are central goals for conservation science. While knowledge of which factors influence extinction risk is increasingly available for some taxonomic groups, a deeper understanding of extinction correlates and the geography of risk remains lacking. Here, we develop a predictive random forest model using both geospatial and mammalian species' trait data to uncover the statistical and geographic distributions of extinction correlates.

Does the jack of all trades fare best? Survival and niche width in Late Pleistocene megafauna

Aim
We sought to assess different megafaunal species responses to the intense climatic changes that characterized the end of the Quaternary.

Location
Eurasia.

Methods
We used species distribution modelling, niche overlap tests and co?occurrence analysis to model climatic niche evolution and change in six different megafauna species, including three extinct (woolly mammoth, woolly rhino and steppe bison) and three extant (red deer, wolf and reindeer) species.

Influenza delle condizioni climatiche sulla stabilità delle tombe etrusche della necropoli di Monterozzi a Tarquinia

La Necropoli di Monterozzi a Tarquinia (VT), con le tombe ipogee dipinte del VII-II sec. a.C., rappresenta una eccezionale testimonianza della vita e dei costumi del popolo etrusco. Nel corso dell’anno 2017, in alcune tombe del confine Nord della necropoli si sono manifestate evidenti lesioni. In seguito alla richiesta della Soprintendenza competente, l’ISPRA (Dip. per il Servizio Geologico d’Italia) e l’Università di Bologna (DICAM) hanno avviato uno studio delle condizioni di stabilità delle tombe più a rischio.

Projected global loss of mammal habitat due to land-use and climate change

Human pressure on the environment is driving a global decline of biodiversity. Anticipating whether this trend can be reverted under future scenarios is key to supporting policy decisions. We used the InSiGHTS framework to model the impacts of land-use and climate change on future habitat availability for 2,827 terrestrial mammals at 15 arcmin resolution under five contrasting global scenarios based on combinations of representative concentration pathways and shared socio-economic pathways between 2015 and 2050. Mammal habitat declined globally by 5%–16% depending on the scenario.

Antarctic food web architecture under varying dynamics of sea ice cover

In the Ross Sea, biodiversity organisation is strongly influenced by sea-ice cover, which is characterised by marked spatio-temporal variations. Expected changes in seasonal sea-ice dynamics will be reflected in food web architecture, providing a unique opportunity to study effects of climate change. Based on individual stable isotope analyses and the high taxonomic resolution of sampled specimens, we described benthic food webs in contrasting conditions of seasonal sea-ice persistence (early vs. late sea-ice break up) in medium-depth waters in Terra Nova Bay (Ross Sea).

Plant–environment interactions through a functional traits perspective. A review of Italian studies

Italy is among the European countries with the greatest plant diversity due to both a great environmental heterogeneity and a long history of man–environment interactions. Trait-based approaches to ecological studies have developed greatly over recent decades worldwide, although several issues concerning the relationships between plant functional traits and the environment still lack sufficient empirical evaluation.

Trade-offs between carbon stocks and biodiversity in European temperate forests

Policies to mitigate climate change and biodiversity loss often assume that protecting carbon-rich forests provides co-benefits in terms of biodiversity, due to the spatial congruence of carbon stocks and biodiversity at biogeographic scales. However, it remains unclear whether this holds at the scales relevant for management, and particularly large knowledge gaps exist for temperate forests and for taxa other than trees.

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